Based on the slides of the talk: https://lovvge.github.io/Forecasting-Tutorial-WWW-2020/
Applications
- Financial / Medical / Traffic / Weather
Problem 1
- Goal: given a signal (eg., #packets over time)
- Find: patterns, periodicities, and/or compress
Problem 2
- Forecast
Problem 3
- Given: A set of correlated time sequences
- Forecast one of them.
Important Observations:
-
Problems are related;
-
Feature extraction =
= (lossy) compression = Dimensionality reduction = Embedding = Latent/hidden variable detection = AutoEncoding
…
Question: Find quickly stocks like ‘C’ (or customers like ‘smith’)
Answer: Summarize seq. to a few numbers/features (eg., avg, stdv, Fourier coeff.)