Based on the slides of the talk: https://lovvge.github.io/Forecasting-Tutorial-WWW-2020/

Applications

  • Financial / Medical / Traffic / Weather

Problem 1

  • Goal: given a signal (eg., #packets over time)
  • Find: patterns, periodicities, and/or compress

Problem 2

  • Forecast

Problem 3

  • Given: A set of correlated time sequences
  • Forecast one of them.

Important Observations:

  • Problems are related;

  • Feature extraction =

    = (lossy) compression = Dimensionality reduction = Embedding = Latent/hidden variable detection = AutoEncoding

Question: Find quickly stocks like ‘C’ (or customers like ‘smith’)

Answer: Summarize seq. to a few numbers/features (eg., avg, stdv, Fourier coeff.)